EDA: How Data Analysis Becomes a Necessary First Step for Big Data and Predictive Analytics Modeling
When a multidisciplinary research study group at Princeton University undertook a study of the paired uses of electricity and gas in townhouses, it contacted the residents of Twin Rivers, a […]Read more ›
Do You Need Something More Credible than the Croston Method for Forecasting Items with Intermittent Demand?
Data quality in forecast errors and other sources of unusual data values should never be ignored in demand forecast modeling and accuracy measurement, especially when forecasting intermittent demand. Intermittent demand or […]Read more ›
Why the MAPE May Not Give the Accuracy Results You Expect
During the CPDF® professional development workshops on Smarter Forecasting and Planning for supply chain practitioners, I often have a discussion with the participants about measuring forecast error and forecast accuracy. I […]Read more ›
Do We Know What We Are Talking About When Measuring Accuracy in Forecasting?
While facilitating the CPDF professional development workshops on Smarter Forecasting and Planning for supply chain practitioners around the world, I would ask the participants to give me their definitions of […]Read more ›
How You Can Reduce Bias in Forecasts Using Waterfall Charts
If we examine demand forecasts, like the chart above, without having domain expertise or knowledge about the context of the forecasting problem, we still can explore the data patterns for […]Read more ›
Are Your Demand Planners and Management Ready for e-Commerce Forecasting?
In recent times, demand forecasting has become a vital discipline for business planners to master in modern consumer demand-driven supply chain organizations. However, the vital skills necessary for demand planners […]Read more ›
Why MOVING AVERAGE Forecasting Needs to be Swept into the Dustbin
When was the last time you saw moving average forecasts being used for forecasting sales, inventory, production or Supply Chain training and certification programs? Hopefully, not within the past two decades, […]Read more ›
How to Get Insights Into Forecasting the Demand for New Products and Services
One objective of a smarter forecasting process is to identify and evaluate systematically all factors, which are most likely to affect the course of demand for products and services. What […]Read more ›
Why Are Graphical Displays So Useful in Forecasting?
The purpose of a smarter forecasting process is to identify and evaluate systematically all factors, which are most likely to affect the course of demand to produce a realistic view […]Read more ›
WHY Demand Managers Need to Manage a Demand Forecasting Process That is Independent of Plans and Targets
The demand forecasting process is a complex process. Complex processes require checklists for effective execution. Here is a comprehensive Demand Forecasting Principles Checklist I found on the web oriented for […]Read more ›
The Demand Planner’s Dilemma: Is a Forecast Just a Number or Something More?
Tens of thousands of years ago, if you asked a group of tribe members and community leaders to raise their right hand if they believed the earth was flat, all […]Read more ›