Email Us  |+1 (973) 267 9269
Delphus, Inc.
  • Home
  • FDS Solutions
  • Smarter Forecasting Solutions
  • Blog
  • Contact Us

Blog

A New (and Smarter) Way to Forecast Leadtime Demand with Intermittent Data – The LZI Method

A New (and Smarter) Way to Forecast Leadtime Demand with Intermittent Data – The LZI Method

article by: delphus at: 18th Apr 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

Forecasting intermittent demand occurs in practice, when  creating lead time demand forecasts for inventory planning. creating multiple forecasts of low volume items for a particular period in the future based […]

Read more ›
EDA: How Data Analysis Becomes a Necessary First Step for Big Data and Predictive Analytics Modeling

EDA: How Data Analysis Becomes a Necessary First Step for Big Data and Predictive Analytics Modeling

article by: delphus at: 25th Feb 2019 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

When a multidisciplinary research study group at Princeton University undertook a study of the paired uses of electricity and gas in townhouses, it contacted the residents of Twin Rivers, a […]

Read more ›

Scrap Your Moving Average Forecast! Improve Forecasting Performance with a NaïveLT Benchmark for Leadtime Demand Forecasting

article by: delphus at: 15th Nov 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

Assessing forecasting performance for lead-time demand forecasts has been a topic herebefore. A lead-time forecast is commonly used in practice for intermittent and regular demand forecasting applications, when  planning product […]

Read more ›

Why You Need an Agile Consumer-Centric Demand Forecasting and Inventory Planning Process in a Disruptive Supply Chain Environment

article by: delphus at: 4th Sep 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

This is a foundational article about an algorithmic inferential modeling approach that supports an agile consumer-centric demand forecasting and inventory planning process without conventional normal (Gaussian) modeling assumptions. Conventional modeling assumptions […]

Read more ›

The New L-Skill Score: An Objective Way to Assess the Accuracy and Effectiveness of a Lead-time Demand Forecasting Process

article by: delphus at: 16th Aug 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

Consumer demand-driven historical data are characterized to a large extent by seasonal patterns (consumer habits: economics) and trends (consumer demographics: population growth and migration). For the sample data, this can […]

Read more ›

How You Can Determine the Bias in a Leadtime Demand Forecast

article by: delphus at: 16th Aug 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

In a global pandemic environment, lead-time demand forecasts become increasingly important in planning production capacities, managing product portfolios, and controlling inventory stock outs in the supply chain. In inventory planning, […]

Read more ›

How You Can Improve Forecasting Performance with the MAPE by Finding and Fixing Data Quality Issues in Your Demand History

article by: delphus at: 11th Jul 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

In a recent article entitled Improving Forecasting Performance with Intermittent Data – A New Way of Scoring Performance, I gave some insight into why the MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) […]

Read more ›

When NOT to Use the Croston Method for Intermittent Demand Forecasting

article by: delphus at: 17th Jun 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

In an earlier article on Forecasting with Intermittent Demand, a reader asked me whether my (Structured Inference Base) SIB approach for intermittent demand modeling was applicable to daily and weekly […]

Read more ›

How to Measure Leadtime Demand Accuracy for Forecast Profiles – An Information-theoretic Approach

article by: delphus at: 17th Jun 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

Demand forecasting and performance evaluation in today’s disrupted consumer demand-driven supply chain environment has become an extremely challenging discipline for business planners to master. For instance, current forecasting performance metrics for […]

Read more ›

A New Way to Monitor Accuracy of Intermittent Lead-time Demand Forecasts: The Forecast Profile Performance (FPP) Index

article by: delphus at: 17th Jun 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

Intermittency in demand forecasting is a well-known and challenging problem for sales, inventory and operations planners, especially in today’s global supply chain environment. Intermittent demand for a product or service […]

Read more ›

Improving Forecasting Performance for intermittent data: A New Measurement Approach

article by: delphus at: 17th Jun 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

With today’s disruptions in global supply chains as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, intermittent sales volumes, shipments and service parts inventory levels are becoming more common across many industries, […]

Read more ›

How Demand Planners Can Become Smarter in Dealing with Intermittency in Demand Forecasting.

article by: delphus at: 17th Jun 2020 under: Tech Tips for Business Owners

When economic disruptions in the global supply start creating shortages in inventory, demand planners are seeing more intermittent demand in sales and shipment data across the entire enterprise. Intermittent demand […]

Read more ›
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4

Next Page »

Categories

  • Tech Tips for Business Owners

Join Us

Free FDS Analysis and Data Framework Assessment!

Schedule your FREE no-obligation FDS Analysis and Data Framework Assessment to find out!

Click here to schedule your FREE FDS Analysis and Data Framework Assessment

Find out how our FDS Solutions can help your organization!

The experience of our Certified Demand Forecasting Experts combined with our strategic partnerships, allows us the ability to competently evaluate all of your organization’s FDS needs and design effective Data Framework Solutions.

Click here to learn more about our FDS Solutions
Copyright © Delphus, Inc. | 152 Speedwell Avenue, Morristown, NJ 07969 USA | (973) 267 9269 | Designed by SPC.